Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 1124.214394 1274.175433 1440.220314 1638.318641 1869.012170 2130.121163 2449.348643
2025-09-21 866.383276 1057.715106 1288.910024 1591.295688 1979.952407 2467.573114 3133.367613
2025-09-28 717.735978 919.132148 1176.710222 1534.839561 2027.095876 2690.650376 3671.287832
2025-10-05 653.499869 871.097823 1163.090944 1590.979846 2214.681859 3110.952814 4534.534202
2025-10-12 594.854881 819.727448 1133.833718 1615.084398 2352.878949 3474.049059 5373.024511
2025-10-19 544.436839 772.112822 1101.422095 1626.125951 2467.552505 3812.500953 6229.301248
2025-10-26 502.224435 730.701236 1071.651264 1634.512320 2575.086297 4150.704832 7144.439229
2025-11-02 475.114271 708.378209 1067.080699 1679.995194 2746.483954 4618.317352 8381.069111
2025-11-09 448.308011 683.344251 1054.754730 1709.723884 2892.870431 5062.217950 9663.357157
2025-11-16 422.871530 657.728552 1038.261213 1729.223171 3021.890465 5492.135757 11008.537866
2025-11-23 400.277328 634.450112 1022.888313 1747.978302 3150.623733 5940.183174 12491.985257
2025-11-30 382.261669 617.042564 1015.458325 1779.543205 3307.172297 6468.585502 14282.254807
2025-12-07 351.605688 576.082201 964.196362 1725.333521 3289.453781 6636.551819 15276.790003
2025-12-14 324.471844 539.201028 917.127192 1674.314184 3272.123922 6804.571548 16322.514396
2025-12-21 298.935257 503.135870 868.354868 1614.447764 3227.499153 6902.470480 17208.430064
2025-12-28 291.569559 499.153379 878.498168 1674.015435 3451.498501 7671.423363 20181.563427
2026-01-04 280.466263 487.352246 872.644511 1699.598713 3602.468512 8291.216150 22916.692597
2026-01-11 268.628365 473.225257 860.969621 1711.318892 3722.637057 8855.880391 25667.937169
2026-01-18 257.413862 459.419973 848.688149 1720.221237 3837.236334 9428.703411 28646.064574
2026-01-25 251.088548 454.557254 853.869389 1768.510472 4056.883009 10337.879409 33142.217153
2026-02-01 243.466926 446.554037 851.871711 1800.080672 4238.771903 11179.361328 37735.778475
2026-02-08 235.315449 436.890341 845.561446 1820.790867 4395.356704 11980.985000 42520.608510
2026-02-15 227.614435 427.588364 839.227795 1840.712947 4553.153874 12823.656970 47864.276675